Scientific medicine in Miettinen’s conception
of it is very different from the two ideas about it that
come to eminence in the 20th century.
To him, medicine is scientific to the extent that it has
a rational theoretical framework and a knowledge-base
from medical science. He delineates the nature of
that theoretical framework and of the research to
develop the requisite knowledge for application in such
a framework. The knowledge ultimately needed is
about diagnostic, etiognostic, and prognostic
probabilities, and it necessarily is to be codified in
the form of probability functions, embedded in
practice-guiding expert
systems.
In these terms, today’s medicine still is mostly
pre-scientific, and major innovations are needed within
and around medicine for healthcare to get to be in tune
with reasonable expectations about it in this
Information Age. Thus, while the leading cause of
litigation for medical malpractice in the U.S. is
failure to expeditiously and correctly diagnose the
probability of myocardial infarction in a hospital’s
emergency room, this book shows that a typical modern
textbook of cardiology, just as one of medicine at
large, imparts no knowledge about the diagnostic
probabilities needed in this, and that the prevailing
type of diagnostic research will not produce the
requisite knowledge. If the diagnostic pursuits in
an ER would be guided by an emergency-room diagnostic
expert system, this would guarantee expert
diagnoses by all ER
doctors.
Academic leaders of medicine and medical researchers
concerned to advance the knowledge-base of medicine will
find a wealth of stimulus for thinking about the
deficiencies of the prevailing knowledge culture in and
surrounding medicine, and about the directions of the
needed progress toward genuinely scientific
medicine.
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