''The Paradox of Plenty'' explains why, in the midst
of two massive oil booms in the 1970s, oil-exporting
governments as different as Venezuela, Iran, Nigeria,
Algeria, and Indonesia chose common development paths
and suffered similarly disappointing outcomes.
Meticulously documented and theoretically innovative,
this book illuminates the manifold factors - economic,
political, and social - that determine the nature of the
oil state, from the coherence of public bureaucracies,
to the degree of centralization, to patterns of
policy-making. Karl contends that oil countries, while
seemingly disparate, are characterized by similar social
classes and patterns of collective action. In these
countries, dependence on petroleum leads to
disproportionate fiscal reliance on petrodollars and
public spending, at the expense of statecraft. Oil
booms, which create the illusion of prosperity and
development, actually destabilize regimes by reinforcing
oil-based interests and further weakening state
capacity.Karl's incisive investigation unites structural
and choice-based approaches by illuminating how
decisions of policymakers are embedded in institutions
interacting with domestic and international markets.
This approach - which Karl dubs 'structured contingency'
- uses a state's leading sector as the starting point
for identifying a range of decision-making choices, and
ends by examining the dynamics of the state
itself. |
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