This book offers a complete primer, covering the
end–to–end process of forecast production, and bringing
together a description of all the relevant aspects
together in a single volume; with plenty of explanation
of some of the more complex issues and examples of
current, state–of–the–art practices. Operational Weather
Forecasting covers the whole process of forecast
production, from understanding the nature of the
forecasting problem, gathering the observational data
with which to initialise and verify forecasts, designing
and building a model (or models) to advance those
initial conditions forwards in time and then
interpreting the model output and putting it into a form
which is relevant to customers of weather forecasts.
Included is the generation of forecasts on the
monthly–to–seasonal timescales, often excluded in
text–books despite this type of forecasting having been
undertaken for several years. This is a rapidly
developing field, with a lot of variations in practices
between different forecasting centres. Thus the
authors have tried to be as generic as possible when
describing aspects of numerical model design and
formulation. Despite the reliance on NWP, the
human forecaster still has a big part to play in
producing weather forecasts and this is described, along
with the issue of forecast verification – how forecast
centres measure their own performance and improve upon
it. Advanced undergraduates and postgraduate students
will use this book to understand how the theory comes
together in the day–to–day applications of weather
forecast production. In addition, professional
weather forecasting practitioners, professional users of
weather forecasts and trainers will all find this new
member of the RMetS Advancing Weather and Climate
series a valuable tool. Provides an end–to–end
description of the weather forecasting process Clearly
structured and pitched at an accessible level, the book
discusses the practical choices that operational
forecasting centres have to make in terms of what
numerical models they use and when they are run. Takes a
very practical approach, using real life case–studies to
contextualize information Discusses the latest advances
in the area, including ensemble methods, monthly to
seasonal range prediction and use of ‘nowcasting’
tools such as radar and satellite imagery Full colour
throughout Written by a highly respected team of authors
with experience in both academia and practice. Part of
the RMetS book series ‘Advancing Weather and
Climate’
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