How do we explain the remarkably abrupt changes that
sometimes occur in nature and society - and can we
predict why and when they happen? This book offers a
comprehensive introduction to critical transitions in
complex systems - the radical changes that happen at
tipping points when thresholds are passed. Marten
Scheffer accessibly describes the dynamical systems
theory behind critical transitions, covering catastrophe
theory, bifurcations, chaos, and more. He gives examples
of critical transitions in lakes, oceans, terrestrial
ecosystems, climate, evolution, and human societies. And
he demonstrates how to deal with these transitions,
offering practical guidance on how to predict tipping
points, how to prevent 'bad' transitions, and how to
promote critical transitions that work for us and not
against us. Scheffer shows the time is ripe for
understanding and managing critical transitions in the
vast and complex systems in which we live. This book can
also serve as a textbook and includes a detailed
appendix with equations. It provides an accessible
introduction to dynamical systems theory.It covers
critical transitions in lakes, oceans, terrestrial
ecosystems, the climate, evolution, and human societies.
It explains how to predict tipping points. It offers
strategies for preventing 'bad' transitions and
triggering 'good' ones. It features an appendix with
equations. |
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