The Gulf monarchies (Saudi Arabia and its five
smaller neighbours: the United Arab Emirates, Kuwait,
Qatar, Oman, and Bahrain) have long been governed by
highly autocratic and seemingly anachronistic regimes.
Yet despite bloody conflicts on their doorsteps,
fast-growing populations, and powerful modernising and
globalising forces impacting on their largely
conservative societies, they have demonstrated
remarkable resilience. Obituaries for these traditional
monarchies have frequently been penned, but even now
these absolutist, almost medieval, entities still appear
to pose the same conundrum as before: in the wake of the
2011 'Arab Spring' and the fall of incumbent presidents
in Egypt, Tunisia, and Libya, the apparently steadfast
Gulf monarchies have, at first glance, re-affirmed their
status as the Middle East's only real bastions of
stability. In this book, however, noted Gulf expert
Christopher Davidson contends that the collapse of these
kings, emirs, and sultans is going to happen, and was
always going to.While the revolutionary movements in
North Africa, Syria, and Yemen will undeniably serve as
important, if indirect, catalysts for the coming
upheaval, many of the same socio-economic pressures that
were building up in the Arab republics are now also very
much present in the Gulf monarchies. It is now no longer
a matter of if but when the West's steadfast allies
fall. This is a bold claim to make but Davidson, who
accurately forecast the economic turmoil that afflicted
Dubai in 2009, has an enviable record in diagnosing
social and political changes afoot in the region. |
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